William B. Hale to Woodrow Wilson

I have been in communication at New York with Carranzas representative. Several points may be useful in your conference with Lind. I gather that no further immediate advances are probable, though Constitutionalists claim they are strengthening their forces and equipment everywhere for more decisive work than has yet been done. Carranza professes not to desire too early triumph. Says revolution should be better organized and matured (loyal ?) before it takes over the government. I do not have the impression that there is any decline in Revolutionists enthusiasm, but advance on Mexico City will not be swift. When it does take place, it will go along the railroad routes from the North. The idea of going down the west coast and across through Guadalajara is abandoned. I was shown evidence of Villas loyalty to Carranza. Carranzas agent suggests that slight relaxation of vigilance on our part would enable them to import ammunistion without causing complications. He has a plan whereby he thinks a million rounds could be taken across at Douglas, not more than half a dozen persons being privy to the occurrence. I have reason to believe that large loans are about to be conditionally tendered Carranza in New York but cannot learn from what source or on what conditions.In a casual conversation Sunday with Ambassador Chinda, whom I have know pretty intimately the Ambassador talked very warmly and with apparent sincerity rejected the idea that Japan was associating itself with Great Britain or with any British interests in its attitude regarding Mexico. He made it a special point that only most ordinary courtesy had been shown De la Barra officially and that honors paid him by opposition populace had greatly embarrassed government, which had, however, dealt with delicate situation tactfully.